Covid-19: Update on its Impact on Financial Markets – 27 April 2020

The virus persists Boris Johnston has returned to work this morning and on first glance appears to be a far slimmer version of himself from a few weeks ago, evidence, if it was ever needed, of the severity of the personal impact of Covid-19. As at the time of writing the UK has 20,800 deaths which were based on hospital counts of those infected. This figure does not include those from nursing homes which based

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Covid-19: Update on its Impact on Financial Markets – 20 April 2020

What is R0 and why is it important? R0 is a statistical representation that epidemiologists use to describe how an infectious disease spreads through a population. Put simply, the average sick person, in a totally receptive population, must be able to get at least one other person sick (R0 = 1) for the disease to spread. If a disease spreads to fewer than one person, on average, an outbreak can’t happen. So, all epidemics involve

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Covid-19: Update on its Impact on Financial Markets – 13 April 2020

Escaping from the Lockdown In the context of global health and economic history, the Covid-19 economic impact was initially viewed as a short term problem, albeit one with serious ramifications. As the realisation of growing infection and mortality rates take hold political leaders everywhere are now starting to grapple with balancing the medical and social issues against    the economic impact on their own country. There’s now a real concern about whether the medical management and

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Covid-19: Update on its Impact on Financial Markets – 6 April 2020

Some Perspective On The Medical Issues While daily updates in infection and mortality statistics of the virus relay its spread and impact, it is also a record of a global failure in disease control by way of alertness and population monitoring. The official one million mark of cases infected is somewhat misleading as these are the numbers of suspected cases who have tested positive for the virus. It does not include those in the global

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Covid-19: Update on its Impact on Financial Markets – 23 March 2020

The Past Week In Markets & Protective Action Against Covid-19 A few weeks ago global stockmarkets were at record highs, supported by data on the US economy which indicated continued growth ahead. But as Covid-19 made its way to Europe and the US, markets turned quickly into the fastest declines on record with extreme intermittent volatility. With worst case scenarios being extrapolated fear of a recession has moved to the forefront of many minds. The

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The Impact of Covid-19 on Financial Markets – 16 March 2020

Firstly, the health issues Much has been written on the medical and health issues of COVID-19 in recent weeks by people far more knowledgeable than I am, and much more will follow in the weeks to come. Nonetheless, there is no doubt we are going to see a huge increase in the number of cases of the virus in the coming days and weeks. This is not due to any new pattern in the spread

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