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July 17, 2019

Good investing is not exciting


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Investors are a worrisome lot. When markets are falling many can get upset. Should they sell? Should they buy more? When markets are rising, the questions are the same. Should they sell? Should they buy more?

It also depends on what asset is in the news. For a long time it was property, then gold, then bonds, then equities. What should I buy? What should I sell? Sometimes the easiest thing to do is to capitulate to the newsmongers and do whatever they are telling you. But who says that just because some guy on a TV program, radio column, newspaper or internet column advises on a particular course of action, that it is right?

Constructing a well-balanced investment portfolio is not sexy and it won’t make quick bucks. So if it’s so basic, what are the key components that investors need to pay attention to?

The first principle is don’t invest money for the long term if you are likely to need it in the short term. The definition of term depends on individual circumstances but the rule hinges on ensuring you have enough liquidity to meet your personal expenses. Sometimes this may necessitate keeping a few years cash available for living and emergency expenses. Sometimes cash requirements can be managed by receiving guaranteed income from the investments.

Next, you need to decide on what way the assets are invested – shares, bonds, cash, property or even commodities.

This is probably the single most important decision any investor and their adviser can make. A fund that is solely invested in shares has possibly great potential for growth long term but can see massive falls in the short term. The ideal portfolio for anyone will vary depending on their personal circumstances and the following questions need to be answered before a cent is invested:

1. How much does the investor need?

2. When will the investor need it?

3. What investment rate of return does the investor need to obtain to make all this work?

Answering these questions should only be done from the perspective of using assets to meet investors goals. The exact allocation of asset types will then also depend on an investors willingness to take risk – their risk propensity and their ability to take investment losses – their risk tolerance. All of this is dependent on the investor and not on a reaction to some financial pundit in the media.

As a basic, investing should be minimal costs and well spread. An ideal way to approach this issue is to use index funds – this is referred to as passive investing. Investing by any other means (active management) requires fund managers to constantly make buy and sell decisions which incur ongoing higher costs as well as running the problem of making bad market timing decisions. If you need some encouragement  to avoid active management just look at the long term statistical information on active managers over the last 50 years or so.

So what asset needs to be used and when? Each type of investment plays a different role in a portfolio. Shares provide growth and long term protection against inflation. Short and intermediate government  bonds can offer safety and some income. Property is useful to counter inflation but Cash is only used for liquidity. Commodities are plays on economic demand. By blending these different investment types into a portfolio, an investor can reduce but not eliminate the risk of any individual investment.

The key to successful investment lies in actually rebalancing the portfolio on a regular basis when one investment grows quicker than the rest or might even fall in value more than the rest. Either way a realignment to the original asset percentages helps store profits made while at the same time investing at fallen prices in areas that are likely to rebound over time. In short, sell high where growth has happened and buy low where losses have been suffered.

These principles are necessary for a successful and worry free investment strategy. Once understood and implemented it makes it easier to ignore the media hype allowing us focus on the things we can control such as spending and enjoying life.

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